Why Is Liontrust Share Price Falling?

The Liontrust Asset Management (LSE: LIO) share price has seen a Liontrust Share Price Falling sharp decline in 2025. The company, once known for its active-management success, is now struggling with asset outflows, weak profitability and sector headwinds.

This decline isn’t due to any single issue – it’s a combination of declining assets under management, investor sentiment, and dividend uncertainty.

Key Financial Liontrust Snapshot

MetricLatest Figure (Q3 2025)Change YoYSource
Assets Under Management (AuMA)£22.0 billion▼ 2.7%Proactive Investors
Net Outflows£1.2 billionWorse than last yearTipRanks
Dividend OutlookCut by ~30%NegativeDeutsche Bank
Share PriceNear 7-year low▼ over 40% YTDInvesting.com

1. Continuous Outflows & Shrinking Assets

Liontrust Share Price core challenge is the steady stream of client withdrawals. When investors pull money out of funds, the company earns less in management fees.

PeriodNet OutflowsCommentary
Q1 2025£1.1 billionWeak fund demand
Q3 2025£1.2 billionNo improvement in trend
2024 FY£3.4 billionSustained erosion of AuMA

Reasons for outflows:

  • Underperformance of flagship UK equity funds.
  • Ongoing shift from active to passive strategies.
  • Investor caution amid weak UK markets.

2. Margin & Profitability Pressure

With declining AuMA, Liontrust’s profit margins are squeezed. The company has taken cost-saving measures, including job cuts and expense reductions.

Indicator2025 StatusNotes
Profit before tax▼ 28%Year-on-year decline
Cost-cutting planActiveTargeting £10m+ savings
Dividend safetyAt riskAnalysts warn of cuts

City A.M. and RBC analysts have both flagged that the dividend yield may not be sustainable if profits continue to fall.

3. Structural Shift: Passive vs. Active Investing

The active-management industry is losing ground to cheaper, index-tracking (passive) funds. This hurts Liontrust more than global peers.

SegmentTrendImpact on Liontrust
Passive funds (ETFs, trackers)Rapid inflowsCompetitors gaining market share
Active equity fundsPersistent outflowsLiontrust’s main business
ESG/ethical fundsModerate recoveryStill not offsetting losses

More than two-thirds of Liontrust’s funds underperformed their benchmarks over the past year — making it harder to retain investors.

4. UK Market Weakness

Liontrust has heavy exposure to UK equities, a market that’s lagged behind the U.S. and global peers.

FactorImpact
UK political & budget uncertaintyDeters investor confidence
Low UK stock valuationsWeakens fund performance
Retail investor sentimentStill cautious post-Brexit & inflation

While some analysts believe UK equities are undervalued, sentiment remains weak, keeping flows negative for UK-focused fund managers like Liontrust.

5. Dividend & Capital-Allocation Concerns

Dividends are crucial for investor confidence, especially in asset-management firms. A cut is often seen as a sign of stress.

Dividend YearForecastAnalyst View
FY202429pMaintained
FY202524pLikely cut
FY202620pDeutsche Bank downgrade

In October 2025, Deutsche Bank revised its price target downward after Liontrust’s dividend policy was changed. Investors interpreted this as a sign of weaker future cash flow.

6. Cost-Cutting & Recovery Plans

Liontrust has introduced restructuring and cost-saving measures to restore profitability.
These include:

  • Staff reductions across divisions.
  • Operational streamlining and digital initiatives.
  • A limited share buyback to support the share price.

While these efforts are positive, analysts warn that cost savings alone can’t reverse outflows — Liontrust must regain investor trust and fund performance.

7. What Could Turn Things Around?

Potential CatalystDescriptionLikelihood
Stabilised fund performanceBetter returns vs. peersModerate
Recovery in UK equitiesCould improve flowsMedium
Rebound in active-fund sentimentInvestors rotate from passiveLow–Medium
Global diversificationExpanding beyond UK focusPossible in 2026

CEO John Ions has indicated that international expansion and diversification are priorities for 2026, but results may take time to materialise.

8. Analyst Outlook

AnalystRatingPrice TargetComment
RBCUnderperform£3.90“Slower recovery in flows”
Deutsche BankHold£4.10“Dividend risk priced in”
Peel HuntNeutral£4.30“Long-term value if outflows stabilise”

Overall, analysts agree that Liontrust remains in recovery mode — undervalued on some metrics, but still risky without clear turnaround signs.

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Final Thoughts:-

Liontrust’s share price is falling due to a mix of fund outflows, profitability challenges, structural headwinds, and dividend uncertainty.

The company’s success depends on its ability to stabilize AuMA, improve fund performance, and rebuild investor confidence.

For investors, this means short-term caution, but the potential for long-term opportunity—if Liontrust successfully adapts to the changing investment landscape.

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